The "Automotive Industry Adjustment and Revitalization Plan" was issued, which brought a turn for the car sales from January to February. Among them, the passenger vehicle market has benefited the most. It has reversed the trend of continuous decline for several months and achieved an increase of 5.8%. One car increased by 0.91%.
Compared with commercial vehicles, the market conditions are not optimistic. Although from the perspective of the country’s capital construction investment, it has already made a “great medicine†and may have already recovered some of the decline, but the disk is still up and down. In January-February, the number of large, medium, and light buses of passenger cars fell across the board. Heavy trucks showed a negative growth of 29.11%. Only medium-sized, light and micro-trucks have increased in varying degrees.
Under such circumstances, the market can not help but demand the government's supportive policy for commercial vehicles. From the situation in 2008, although the proportion of commercial vehicles in the automotive market is only 28%, the huge number of 2.62 million vehicles can not neglect the function of stimulating domestic demand. In particular, commercial vehicles are money-making machines, so their Or the comprehensive effects of industrial chains such as tourism and public transportation are even more significant.
In this "revitalization plan", we also proposed the policy measure of "the total amount of subsidies for the retirement and replacement of old cars in 2009 from 600 million yuan in 2008 to 1 billion yuan" (this subsidy was only 300 million in 2007. yuan). However, there are no operating rules for how to use the one billion yuan in this policy. For example, according to the Ministry of Finance and the Ministry of Commerce issued on May 31st, 2007, the subsidies for 4,000 yuan of large-scale commercial vehicles with a service life of 7-9 years are calculated. Of the 3.16 million commercial vehicles eligible for subsidy, only 75,000 old vehicles can enjoy it. Now that this subsidy fund has been increased to 1 billion yuan, how much consumption can it pull? What's more, for a large commercial vehicle, the subsidy of RMB 4,000 is too small.
Although “cars to the countryside†can stimulate the consumption of mini-vehicles and light trucks, the focus of product mix adjustment is on large-scale commercial vehicles.
The key to promoting the development of the commercial vehicle market lies not only in the policy preferences of selling prices and the remediation of the transportation environment, but also in intensifying the mandatory policies for updating and scrapping. This is equivalent to "soft and hard" both hands simultaneously. At present, the number of commercial vehicles in China is about 26 million, and the annual scrap rate is 300,000 to 500,000. The annual scrap rate is only about 2%. If this is extrapolated, there are still about 5 million "yellow cars" produced at the end of the last century and the beginning of this century. Therefore, increasing the intensity of scrapping has a positive effect on energy saving and environmental protection, driving safety, and transportation efficiency. From this point of view, taking energy-saving and environmental protection as the starting point and actively implementing the mandatory retirement policy is particularly important.
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