Europe, the United States and Japan have introduced their trade protection policies intensively.

Experts believe that the building of barriers will only aggravate the global trade recession. With the uncertain prospect of international economic recovery, the wave of trade protectionism seems to be surging. According to foreign media reports, the U.S. Department of Commerce announced on the 26th a package proposal to strengthen anti-dumping, anti-subsidy and other trade remedy measures, with a clear sense of trade protectionism; at the same time, the European Union plans to begin to add 43 Chinese glass fibers to China in September. 6% of temporary anti-dumping duties; recently, Japan also relaxed its ruling on anti-dumping.

Insiders pointed out that the recent intensive protectionism policy was due to the slow economic growth of the economies of Europe, the United States and Japan, the prominent domestic economic contradictions, and the increased political pressure, which made it eager to further transfer domestic contradictions abroad. Trade protectionism has become the biggest threat to China’s exports, and the increasingly fierce situation deserves vigilance.

Surging tide of trade protectionism intensive <br> <br> US Commerce Secretary Gary Locke announced on the 26th of the 14 recommendations to strengthen trade remedy measures, designed to strengthen the enforcement of anti-dumping and countervailing policies, to take on the problem of unfair import trade more It is a strict position, especially for countries such as China that “these markets will be controlled by the government”. The U.S. Department of Commerce plans to implement relevant policies in the autumn after public consultation.

First, the proposed abolition of anti-dumping given a single foreign export companies in a particular situation or countervailing duty exemption. At present, after the U.S. government imposes anti-dumping or anti-subsidy sanctions on certain types of imported goods from a country, if the individual exporting enterprises in the country can prove that they have not been dumped for three consecutive years or have not received illegal subsidies for five consecutive years, they can be exempted. Subject to relevant trade sanctions.

Secondly, it is stipulated that after the relevant departments have made preliminary anti-dumping or anti-subsidy sanctions, companies that are sanctioned can only use cash as a deposit to continue exporting goods to the United States. At present, for the anti-dumping or countervailing cases that the US Department of Commerce has made before the preliminary investigation but are still in the process of investigation, relevant companies can continue to export to the United States as cash deposits or bonds.

Thirdly, for the case of anti-dumping cases involving non-market economy countries, the calculation methods for export tariffs and value-added tax when calculating the current dumping margin are changed. At the same time, new measurement methods have been adopted to calculate the wage levels in non-market economy countries and use alternative wage levels to fully reflect all labor costs including benefits and taxes.

Experts believe that the new proposal would further increase the frequency of anti-dumping, countervailing and other trade remedy measures of the US government. Meanwhile, for non-market economy country, calculated under the new statistical method of dumping or subsidy rate greater than the original, leading to higher anti-dumping or countervailing duty.

Compared with the former Bush administration, since the Obama administration took office, the use of trade remedy measures has become more frequent. In 2009, the International Trade Department under the US Department of Commerce launched a total of 34 anti-dumping and countervailing investigations, far higher than 19 in 2008. Among them, surveys for non-market economy countries account for about 1/3.

In addition, Japan has recently adjusted its anti-dumping ruling conditions and is ready to start waving anti-dumping sticks. According to the "Japan Economic News" report recently, the Ministry of Economics and Welfare relaxed the conditions for applying for anti-dumping investigations against unfair and cheap imported products from abroad in order to facilitate the application of the infringed company. The government accepted the case and promptly investigated the case and adopted special anti-dumping measures. According to the Ministry of Industry and Commerce, once an application is investigated and an anti-dumping decision is made, the probability of taking measures is 70% to 80%.

According to reports, in the context of increasingly fierce competition between Japanese companies and enterprises in emerging countries, to prevent Japanese companies from becoming less competitive, Japan believes it is necessary to relax the conditions. Japan's Ministry of Economy and Trade said that the demand for adjustment systems was concentrated in the motor and textile fiber industries. In addition, Japan is exploring ways to imitate the application needs of the U.S. Department of Commerce to set up a special window counterpart in the government. Experts pointed out that electromechanical products and textile fiber products are important products for China’s exports, and Japan is also an important export market for China. The future Sino-Japanese trade is expected to be affected by this and deserves vigilance.

Release domestic pressure catalytic trade protectionism <br> <br> slowdown in global economic growth has greatly catalyze the release of trade protectionist sentiment. According to the Ministry of Commerce Bureau of Fair Trade latest statistics show that as of July 2010, the United States has ruled China trade remedy measures are being implemented already as many as 104 cases involving more than 80 kinds of products. The EU has concluded that China has implemented as many as 59 trade remedy products. In the first half of 2010, the United States initiated a total of four trade remedy measures, all targeted at Chinese products. In the first half of 2010 alone, the EU initiated seven trade remedy measures against China, which is already the same as in the whole year of 2009.

According to industry insiders, economic growth rates in Europe, the United States, Japan and other economies are too modest, domestic economic conflicts are prominent, and domestic political pressures have caused them to hurry to further transfer domestic contradictions abroad.

After the Obama administration took office, it placed a large amount of bets on the manufacturing recovery and export promotion strategy. It hopes to increase the competitiveness of local manufacturing industries, expand exports, and promote economic and employment recovery. In his first State of the Union address published in January this year, Obama proposed to double US exports in five years and create 2 million jobs through increased exports.

However, the latest data from the US Department of Commerce shows that in the second quarter of this year, US exports grew by only 9.1 percent, the lowest quarterly increase since the recovery, and exports only contributed 1.08 percentage points to the increase in gross domestic product (GDP), also from four quarters ago. lowest. In the same period, imports increased sharply by 32.4% and led to a 4.45 percentage point drop in GDP growth.

It is against this background that the U.S. government has put forward a package proposal for strengthening trade remedy measures. Whether or not the mid-term elections can begin before the decisive battle will be completed and the achievements will be made on the economic and employment issues that the voters are most concerned about will greatly affect the selection.

Wang Jinbin, a professor at the School of Economics of Renmin University of China, also pointed out during an interview with a reporter from the Economic Information Daily that the main reason for such a policy was that the domestic economy’s perplexities and worries turned into political pressure, and eventually forced the US authorities to take more strength. Trade protectionism. This is actually the American egoism is further strengthened in the field of trade, trying to use the "trade fairness" that the United States alone considers to some extent replace the internationally recognized trade fairness.

Japan is also plunged into a domestic economic dilemma. The recent strengthening of the yen sounded the alarm. The data released by Japan’s Ministry of Finance on the 25th showed that exports from other Asian countries remained strong as a result of the country’s exports. In the same period, it increased by 23.5% to 5.983 trillion yen. However, compared with the 27.7% increase in exports in June, the export growth rate has been slowing for the fifth consecutive month. Analysts are even more worried that the recent continued rise in the exchange rate of the Japanese yen will further suppress exports, making the export-dependent Japanese economy once again reach the bottom. It can be predicted that the Japanese government will also do its best to maintain its own trade surplus.

Experts interviewed by the "Economic Information Daily" reporter pointed out that, in fact, the height of trade barriers can only aggravate the tense relations among countries, not only can not ease the negative impact of the financial crisis on economic and trade, but will deepen the global Economic and trade depression. The “tyre special security case” that had caused a huge wave in 2009 was a typical case. The United States violated WTO rules and insisted on adopting special protection measures for tires made in China. The final result was worthless.

Deal with China should learn advanced negotiation skills <br> <br> Some analysts believe that, in the US mid-term elections countdown to the occasion, the United States has introduced a package of recommended practices show the suspect to final adoption and implementation is also very difficult, if only a Political attitude has little effect on actual trade. However, it is worth noting that a similar trend reflects that the countercyclical trade protection policy after the financial crisis will be transformed from the specific product of a specific period into the normalization of trade protectionism, and will last for several years. China will face an even more international trade environment. Complex and difficult.

Michael Pettis, a professor of finance at Peking University and a senior researcher at the Carnegie Foundation of the United States, wrote for the Financial Times a few days ago that in the next few months, the United States will be forced to expand its trade protection or trade deficit drastically. At the same time, choose between the rising unemployment rate. It is almost certain that the United States will choose the former; but if it over-reacts (there may be such a situation), it will trigger a new round of global trade protectionism—this will especially hurt countries with a favorable trade balance.

Many experts interviewed by the "Economic Information Daily" reporter pointed out that the increasing protectionist measures have become the biggest threat to China's foreign trade in the process of recovery. Taking the textile industry as an example, the China Textile Chamber of Commerce recently surveyed 200 large-scale textile export enterprises. In the first half of this year, the export orders of these enterprises all dropped by 20% to 30%. At the same time, international trade protection continues to escalate. In the first quarter of this year, the recall notice issued by the Consumer Product Safety Commission of the United States involved the increase in the number of textile and apparel products in China by nearly 20% compared to the same period of last year, and the number of EU non-food quick warning systems increased by 6.3 times.

Wang Jinbin pointed out that in response to trade protection policies, China should actively study the advanced negotiation and lobbying skills of the United States and other developed countries and regions. China's foreign export enterprises and industries should join foreign companies investing in China to strengthen public relations and lobbying abroad to prevent or reduce the emergence of similar protectionist policies. At the same time, there is no concession on specific trade protection, reflecting the posture of a large manufacturing country and trading power on international fair trade.

Bai Shuqiang, a professor at the School of International Business and Economics of the University of International Business and Economics, told reporters before the Economic Information Daily that maintaining an open multilateral trading system, strengthening WTO rules and disciplines, and conducting fair and open trade will promote the resumption of growth and trade in the world economy. Protectionism is of great significance. Trade disputes between China and other countries and regions should be resolved through multilateral channels as much as possible to promote the depoliticization of trade frictions and to avoid bilateral trade wars. At the same time, we must strengthen international coordination, actively promote cooperation in trade and investment, and resolutely oppose trade protectionism and investment protectionism.

In addition, it should continue to actively develop new trading partners or regions, which is also widely recognized by the industry. Facts have proved that the rapid recovery of the emerging market economy has strongly driven my export growth. The main reason for my high export innovation rate is the relatively rapid recovery of emerging markets. According to data from the Ministry of Commerce, from January to July, my exports to ASEAN, India, and Russia increased by 43.2%, 40.1%, and 70.7%, respectively, which were higher than the traditional markets of the United States, Europe, and Japan.